Monday, May 17, 2021

Review Key Updates for NIJ's Recidivism Forecasting Challenge

 

NIJ has updated the Recidivism Forecasting Challenge to:

  • Add missing deadlines under section X: Other Rules and Conditions.
  • Provide a sample submission file.
  • Updated the scoring section by adding: If an applicant fails to provide a probability for an individual in the test dataset it will be considered an incorrect forecast (i.e., if the individual did recidivate, it will be scored as though you forecasted a 0 probability; and, if the individual did not recidivate, it will be scored as though you forecasted a 1 probability).
  • Correct variable names in the data file:
    • _v1 becomes Prior_Arrest_Episodes_PPViolationCharges
    • _v2 becomes Prior_Conviction_Episodes_PPViolationCharges
    • _v3 becomes Prior_Conviction_Episodes_DomesticViolenceCharges
    • _v4 becomes Prior_Conviction_Episodes_GunCharges

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